Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.092 to 12.02.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.02 (+0.093)
- In: 11.93
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 815
- In: 725
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.48 | 9.61 | +0.133 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.20 | 13.21 | +0.008 | 3 |
| National Security | 8.97 | 8.98 | +0.010 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.17 | 14.29 | +0.125 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 12.00 | 12.12 | +0.118 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.50 | 11.50 | −0.002 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 13.35 | 13.36 | +0.008 | 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.86 | 12.03 | +0.171 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.85 | 13.10 | +0.257 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 477, plus 725 carried in. Maintenance 316. Spent 71 on actions (build 14, buy 43, partner 14). 815 carried over.
- BuyArtificial Intelligence14 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics14 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
- BuildFoundational Education14 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity14 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation14 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.23 | +1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.04 | +1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.71 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.65 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.58 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.58 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |