Round 13 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.089 to 11.93.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.93 (+0.089)
In: 11.84
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
763
In: 674
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.349.48+0.1365
Strategic Infrastructure13.1913.20+0.0103
National Security8.968.97+0.0115
Human Capital14.1414.17+0.0322
Information & Influence11.8812.00+0.1166 → 5
Governance & Integrity11.5111.50−0.00210
Financial Strength13.3213.35+0.0348 → 7
Production & Innovation11.8011.86+0.0585
Trade & Investment12.4412.85+0.4095

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 472, plus 674 carried in. Maintenance 311. Spent 72 on actions (build 14, buy 14, partner 43). 763 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity14 credits for 0.73 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation14 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication14 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position14 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing14 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.11+1.110.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.65+0.650.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.61+0.560.000.00+0.04
Global Value Chain Position+0.60+0.580.000.00+0.02
Digital & Services Trade+0.59+0.560.000.00+0.03
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.58+0.580.000.000.00