Round 2043
Round 17 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.067 to 12.15.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.15 (−0.067)
- In: 12.22
- Rank by index
- 28
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 952
- In: 868
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.14 | 9.97 | −0.165 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.24 | 13.19 | −0.053 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.00 | 9.01 | +0.010 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.39 | 14.32 | −0.076 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 12.45 | 12.57 | +0.123 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.50 | 11.39 | −0.114 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 13.39 | 13.20 | −0.189 | 7 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.28 | 12.11 | −0.172 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.55 | 13.58 | +0.035 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 490, plus 868 carried in. Maintenance 332. Spent 73 on actions (partner 73). 952 carried over.
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence15 credits for 1.18 levelsmcts
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation15 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade15 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication15 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication15 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −29.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 7 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.85 | +1.17 | 0.00 | −0.33 | +0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.44 | +0.60 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.41 | +0.59 | 0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.36 | +0.54 | 0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.34 | +0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | −0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.37 | +0.04 |