Round 18 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.026 to 12.12.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.12 (−0.026)
In: 12.15
Rank by index
28
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
928
In: 904
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.9710.04+0.0735
Strategic Infrastructure13.1913.13−0.0593
National Security9.019.02+0.0065
Human Capital14.3214.24−0.0762
Information & Influence12.5712.69+0.1144 → 3
Governance & Integrity11.3911.28−0.11410
Financial Strength13.2013.01−0.1978
Production & Innovation12.1111.94−0.1684
Trade & Investment13.5813.77+0.1885

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 426, plus 904 carried in. Maintenance 329. Spent 74 on actions (buy 29, partner 44). 928 carried over.

  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics15 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence15 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems15 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position15 credits for 1.09 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation15 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.7 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.02+1.160.00−0.16+0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.02+1.180.00−0.170.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.90+1.110.00−0.37+0.16
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.44+0.590.00−0.19+0.04
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.360.000.00−0.34−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.36+0.550.00−0.190.00