Round 18 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.086 to 13.21.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.21 (+0.087)
In: 13.12
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
753
In: 716
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.9511.09+0.1355
Strategic Infrastructure14.3814.39+0.0113
National Security9.609.61+0.0135
Human Capital15.6515.77+0.1181
Information & Influence13.4813.55+0.0652
Governance & Integrity12.4512.46+0.0069
Financial Strength14.0514.06+0.0135
Production & Innovation13.1013.13+0.0284
Trade & Investment14.4114.80+0.3894 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 505, plus 716 carried in. Maintenance 393. Spent 75 on actions (build 15, buy 15, partner 45). 753 carried over.

  • BuildInformation Environment & Strategic Communication15 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence15 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication15 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems15 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position15 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.19+1.110.000.00+0.09
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.58+0.560.000.00+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.55+0.550.000.00+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.53+0.520.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.53+0.520.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.52+0.500.000.00+0.02