Round 20 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.111 to 13.43.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.43 (+0.111)
In: 13.32
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
729
In: 708
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.4211.77+0.3444
Strategic Infrastructure14.4014.41+0.0083
National Security9.629.63+0.0145
Human Capital15.8815.95+0.0681
Information & Influence13.7114.05+0.3372
Governance & Integrity12.4612.46+0.0049
Financial Strength14.0714.08+0.0092
Production & Innovation13.1513.27+0.1193
Trade & Investment15.1315.22+0.0932

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 508, plus 708 carried in. Maintenance 411. Spent 76 on actions (buy 76). 729 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation15 credits for 1.11 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies15 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing15 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance15 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity15 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.12+1.110.000.00+0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.09+1.070.000.00+0.02
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.08+1.070.000.00+0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.06+1.050.000.00+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.87+0.850.000.00+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.73+0.720.000.00+0.02