Round 2028
Round 2 of 20 in simulation 7 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.049 to 11.76.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.76 (+0.049)
- In: 11.71
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 119
- In: 57
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.95 | 8.97 | +0.022 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.80 | 13.83 | +0.026 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.42 | 9.42 | 0.000 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 12.05 | 12.26 | +0.212 | 6 |
| Information & Influence | 11.86 | 11.88 | +0.012 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.11 | 12.14 | +0.025 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.17 | 13.27 | +0.102 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.88 | 11.90 | +0.023 | 8 → 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.18 | 12.20 | +0.019 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 437, plus 57 carried in. Maintenance 310. Spent 65 on actions (build 52, partner 13). 119 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.53 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence13 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills13 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling13 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education13 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +6.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 8 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.56 | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.54 | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.54 | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.52 | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +0.19 | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |