Round 3 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 7 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.061 to 11.82.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.82 (+0.062)
In: 11.76
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
191
In: 113
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.979.00+0.0226
Strategic Infrastructure13.8313.86+0.0293
National Security9.429.42+0.0015
Human Capital12.2612.58+0.3146
Information & Influence11.8811.89+0.0155
Governance & Integrity12.1412.16+0.0259
Financial Strength13.2713.38+0.1049
Production & Innovation11.9011.93+0.0236
Trade & Investment12.2012.22+0.0207

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 456, plus 113 carried in. Maintenance 312. Spent 66 on actions (build 53, partner 13). 191 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.51 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence13 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills13 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling13 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education13 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +1.3 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.82+0.810.00+0.020.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.79+0.740.00+0.040.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.76+0.730.00+0.020.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.53+0.520.00+0.010.00
Foundational Education+0.36+0.340.00+0.020.00
Transport Infrastructure+0.050.000.00+0.04+0.01