Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 7 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Debt service reset, and the index +0.102 to 11.93.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.93 (+0.102)
- In: 11.82
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 261
- In: 182
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.00 | 9.02 | +0.024 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.86 | 13.92 | +0.061 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.42 | 9.42 | +0.004 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 12.58 | 13.00 | +0.423 | 6 → 4 |
| Information & Influence | 11.89 | 12.04 | +0.153 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.16 | 12.22 | +0.056 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.38 | 13.51 | +0.131 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.93 | 11.96 | +0.034 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.22 | 12.25 | +0.032 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 462, plus 182 carried in. Maintenance 314. Spent 68 on actions (build 41, partner 27). 261 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance14 credits for 0.51 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence14 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills14 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling14 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation14 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +5.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 6 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.10 | +1.06 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.05 | +0.99 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.01 | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.78 | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.56 | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +0.40 | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 |