Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 7 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.128 to 12.20.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.20 (+0.128)
- In: 12.07
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 445
- In: 339
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.05 | 9.38 | +0.331 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.99 | 14.07 | +0.079 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.43 | 9.44 | +0.011 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 13.56 | 13.99 | +0.435 | 3 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 12.20 | 12.22 | +0.028 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.28 | 12.33 | +0.057 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.64 | 13.77 | +0.132 | 9 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.19 | 12.23 | +0.041 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.28 | 12.32 | +0.035 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 501, plus 339 carried in. Maintenance 322. Spent 74 on actions (build 30, buy 30, partner 15). 445 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance15 credits for 0.51 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence15 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education15 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies15 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence15 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +2.4 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.53 | +1.50 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.52 | +1.50 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.22 | +1.17 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.02 | +0.96 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.83 | +0.79 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +0.59 | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 |