Round 7 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 7 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.119 to 12.31.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.31 (+0.119)
In: 12.20
Rank by index
26
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
513
In: 423
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.389.39+0.0106
Strategic Infrastructure14.0714.13+0.0613
National Security9.449.45+0.0155
Human Capital13.9914.41+0.4182
Information & Influence12.2212.59+0.3675
Governance & Integrity12.3312.37+0.0349
Financial Strength13.7713.89+0.1218 → 7
Production & Innovation12.2312.26+0.0286
Trade & Investment12.3212.34+0.0177

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 494, plus 423 carried in. Maintenance 328. Spent 75 on actions (build 15, buy 30, partner 30). 513 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance15 credits for 0.49 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance15 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation15 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation15 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education15 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +1.1 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.40+1.350.00+0.01+0.04
Digital & AI Competence+0.95+0.930.00+0.020.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.80+0.770.00+0.02+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.75+0.740.00+0.010.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.73+0.710.00+0.020.00
Foundational Education+0.58+0.520.00+0.04+0.01