Round 16 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 7 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.026 to 12.67.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.67 (−0.026)
In: 12.69
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
697
In: 691
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.1610.35+0.1815
Strategic Infrastructure14.1514.10−0.0513
National Security9.599.60+0.0105
Human Capital15.2515.20−0.0461
Information & Influence13.1513.02−0.1363 → 4
Governance & Integrity12.0912.00−0.0889
Financial Strength13.4313.29−0.1417
Production & Innovation12.5412.42−0.1214
Trade & Investment13.8614.01+0.1563

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 432, plus 691 carried in. Maintenance 361. Spent 65 on actions (build 13, buy 39, partner 13). 697 carried over.

  • BuyArtificial Intelligence13 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing13 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation13 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 1 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling13 credits for 0.99 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade13 credits for 1.02 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −7.5 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.94+1.060.00−0.110.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.84+0.970.00−0.29+0.16
Digital & Services Trade+0.84+1.110.00−0.29+0.03
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.77+0.890.00−0.12+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.41+0.550.00−0.15+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.38+0.510.00−0.15+0.02