Round 15 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 7 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.013 to 12.69.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.69 (−0.012)
In: 12.70
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
727
In: 731
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.1510.16+0.0115
Strategic Infrastructure14.1914.15−0.0343
National Security9.589.59+0.0145
Human Capital15.3015.25−0.0501
Information & Influence13.2913.15−0.1363
Governance & Integrity12.1812.09−0.0869
Financial Strength13.5813.43−0.1506 → 7
Production & Innovation12.5512.54−0.0064
Trade & Investment13.5313.86+0.3275 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 430, plus 731 carried in. Maintenance 360. Spent 74 on actions (buy 30, partner 44). 727 carried over.

  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems15 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade15 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics15 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection15 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity15 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −7.5 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 6 to 7; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.19+1.230.00−0.11+0.07
Economic Output & Productivity+0.66+0.760.00−0.13+0.03
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.47+0.610.00−0.140.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.43+0.560.00−0.15+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.41+0.560.00−0.150.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.41+0.550.00−0.15+0.01