Round 2 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-greedy

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.066 to 11.61.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.61 (+0.065)
In: 11.54
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
133
In: 64
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.176.38+0.2147
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.860.0005
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.5814.63+0.0513
Information & Influence10.6910.89+0.1946
Governance & Integrity15.4615.460.0003
Financial Strength13.0813.10+0.0199
Production & Innovation12.9213.03+0.1105
Trade & Investment12.6012.60+0.0046

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 395, plus 64 carried in. Maintenance 267. Spent 59 on actions (build 12, buy 35, partner 12). 133 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.15 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 2 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.14 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 6 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.98 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 4 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.17 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.17+1.170.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.14+1.140.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.99+0.990.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.72+0.720.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.46+0.460.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.110.000.000.00+0.11