Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.322 to 11.29.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.29 (−0.321)
- In: 11.61
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 199
- In: 127
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.38 | 6.51 | +0.123 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.86 | 10.22 | −0.641 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 6.91 | −0.634 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.63 | 14.73 | +0.100 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.89 | 10.06 | −0.823 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.05 | −0.412 | 3 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.10 | 13.12 | +0.022 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.03 | 12.73 | −0.294 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.60 | 12.26 | −0.338 | 6 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 401, plus 127 carried in. Maintenance 270. Spent 59 on actions (build 24, buy 24, partner 12). 199 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.13 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 4 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.08 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 5 per cent
- PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.95 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence12 credits for 1.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 3 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling12 credits for 1.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −28.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.31 | +1.31 | 0.00 | −0.27 | +0.26 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.30 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.29 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.25 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.22 | 0.00 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | −1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.11 | 0.00 |