Round 5 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-greedy

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.087 to 11.44.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.44 (+0.087)
In: 11.35
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
348
In: 261
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.756.93+0.1866
Strategic Infrastructure10.2210.27+0.0435
National Security6.926.93+0.0146
Human Capital14.8615.00+0.1423 → 2
Information & Influence10.1610.54+0.3836
Governance & Integrity15.0515.05−0.0025
Financial Strength13.1113.13+0.0129 → 8
Production & Innovation12.8412.83−0.0065
Trade & Investment12.2812.28+0.0078 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 404, plus 261 carried in. Maintenance 257. Spent 60 on actions (build 12, buy 36, partner 12). 348 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.02 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 1 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure12 credits for 0.86 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.15 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation12 credits for 1.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 0.95 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.14+1.150.000.00−0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.11+1.110.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.95+0.950.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.63+0.650.000.00−0.03
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.53+0.510.000.00+0.03
Space Technologies+0.46+0.460.000.000.00