Round 4 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-greedy

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.065 to 11.35.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.35 (+0.064)
In: 11.29
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
275
In: 189
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.516.75+0.2417 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure10.2210.22+0.0025
National Security6.916.92+0.0076
Human Capital14.7314.86+0.1253
Information & Influence10.0610.16+0.0986
Governance & Integrity15.0515.05+0.0015
Financial Strength13.1213.11−0.0059
Production & Innovation12.7312.84+0.1005
Trade & Investment12.2612.28+0.0148

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 399, plus 189 carried in. Maintenance 254. Spent 60 on actions (build 12, buy 24, partner 24). 275 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.09 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 3 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.03 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 3 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks12 credits for 1.01 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.03+1.030.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.94+0.940.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.91+0.910.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.72+0.720.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.54+0.510.000.00+0.03
Artificial Intelligence+0.340.000.000.00+0.34