Round 14 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-greedy

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.040 to 10.96.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.96 (+0.039)
In: 10.92
Rank by index
35
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
829
In: 757
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.318.44+0.1295
Strategic Infrastructure9.549.53−0.0125
National Security6.276.26−0.0037
Human Capital14.8114.80−0.0152
Information & Influence10.7010.70+0.0056
Governance & Integrity14.0614.05−0.0126
Financial Strength11.0611.02−0.03413
Production & Innovation11.8911.98+0.0866 → 5
Trade & Investment11.6511.86+0.2148 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 379, plus 757 carried in. Maintenance 247. Spent 60 on actions (buy 24, partner 36). 829 carried over.

  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection12 credits for 1.01 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access12 credits for 1.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 0.79 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics12 credits for 1.03 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.79+0.790.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.66+0.670.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.58+0.560.000.00+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.49+0.510.000.00−0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.46+0.510.000.00−0.04
Space Technologies+0.38+0.380.000.000.00