Round 15 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-greedy

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.072 to 11.03.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.03 (+0.072)
In: 10.96
Rank by index
35
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
865
In: 788
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.448.55+0.1125
Strategic Infrastructure9.539.52−0.0065
National Security6.266.28+0.0177
Human Capital14.8014.79−0.0142
Information & Influence10.7010.76+0.0626
Governance & Integrity14.0514.04−0.0136
Financial Strength11.0211.03+0.00313
Production & Innovation11.9812.11+0.1265 → 6
Trade & Investment11.8612.22+0.3557 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 384, plus 788 carried in. Maintenance 250. Spent 57 on actions (buy 23, partner 34). 865 carried over.

  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication11 credits for 0.98 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection11 credits for 0.94 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion11 credits for 0.99 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation11 credits for 1.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks11 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 6; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.13+1.070.000.00+0.06
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.98+0.970.000.00+0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.96+0.990.000.00−0.03
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.55+0.560.000.00−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.50+0.510.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.47+0.490.000.00−0.02