Round 2 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-greedy

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.075 to 11.62.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.62 (+0.075)
In: 11.54
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
133
In: 64
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.176.39+0.2257
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.88+0.0135
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.5814.64+0.0623
Information & Influence10.6910.89+0.1996
Governance & Integrity15.4615.47+0.0133
Financial Strength13.0813.10+0.0229
Production & Innovation12.9213.04+0.1265
Trade & Investment12.6012.61+0.0146

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 395, plus 64 carried in. Maintenance 267. Spent 59 on actions (build 12, buy 35, partner 12). 133 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.15 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 2 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.14 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 6 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.98 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 4 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.17 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +3.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.17+1.170.00+0.010.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.15+1.140.00+0.010.00
Space Technologies+1.00+0.990.00+0.010.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.73+0.720.00+0.010.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.48+0.460.00+0.020.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.100.000.00+0.01+0.10