Round 3 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-greedy

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.068 to 11.69.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.69 (+0.068)
In: 11.62
Rank by index
31
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
211
In: 127
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.396.78+0.3867
Strategic Infrastructure10.8810.89+0.0135
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.6414.76+0.1123
Information & Influence10.8910.91+0.0176
Governance & Integrity15.4715.48+0.0123
Financial Strength13.1013.13+0.0269
Production & Innovation13.0413.07+0.0255
Trade & Investment12.6112.63+0.0246

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 413, plus 127 carried in. Maintenance 270. Spent 59 on actions (build 24, buy 24, partner 12). 211 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.13 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 4 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.08 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 5 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.95 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 2 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence12 credits for 1.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 3 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling12 credits for 1.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +0.7 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.68+1.310.00+0.01+0.35
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.09+1.080.00+0.010.00
Space Technologies+0.98+0.970.00+0.010.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.71+0.690.00+0.020.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.22+0.210.00+0.010.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.120.000.00+0.01+0.12