Round 5 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-greedy

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.097 to 11.86.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.86 (+0.097)
In: 11.77
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
369
In: 265
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.057.40+0.3566
Strategic Infrastructure10.9110.99+0.0745
National Security7.557.56+0.0166
Human Capital14.9315.13+0.1973 → 2
Information & Influence10.9411.04+0.1036
Governance & Integrity15.5115.54+0.0263
Financial Strength13.1513.19+0.0358
Production & Innovation13.1913.23+0.0345
Trade & Investment12.6612.69+0.0326

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 445, plus 265 carried in. Maintenance 278. Spent 62 on actions (build 12, buy 37, partner 12). 369 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 3 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure12 credits for 0.87 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks12 credits for 1.00 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 0.97 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies12 credits for 1.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +1.1 points this round.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.32+1.310.00+0.010.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.15+1.120.00+0.030.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.98+0.970.00+0.010.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.55+0.500.00+0.01+0.04
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.50+0.440.00+0.02+0.05
Artificial Intelligence+0.500.000.00+0.01+0.49