Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Debt service reset, and the index +0.078 to 11.77.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.77 (+0.078)
- In: 11.69
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 31
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 279
- In: 200
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.78 | 7.05 | +0.267 | 7 → 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.89 | 10.91 | +0.027 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 7.55 | +0.006 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.76 | 14.93 | +0.172 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.91 | 10.94 | +0.028 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.48 | 15.51 | +0.027 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.13 | 13.15 | +0.024 | 9 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.07 | 13.19 | +0.123 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.63 | 12.66 | +0.028 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 415, plus 200 carried in. Maintenance 274. Spent 62 on actions (build 25, buy 25, partner 12). 279 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 5 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 3 per cent
- PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.94 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 2 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling12 credits for 1.10 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
- Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +2.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.06 | +1.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.96 | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.94 | +0.91 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.74 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.47 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.45 | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |