Round 4 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.085 to 11.35.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.35 (+0.085)
In: 11.27
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
281
In: 187
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.376.70+0.3287 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure10.2210.23+0.0075
National Security6.916.92+0.0086
Human Capital14.7114.81+0.1013
Information & Influence9.8810.10+0.2197 → 6
Governance & Integrity15.0515.05+0.0035
Financial Strength13.2713.35+0.0808
Production & Innovation12.7312.73+0.0035
Trade & Investment12.2612.28+0.0188

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 407, plus 187 carried in. Maintenance 253. Spent 60 on actions (build 12, buy 36, partner 12). 281 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance12 credits for 0.38 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence12 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6; Information & Influence Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.68+1.330.000.00+0.34
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.30+1.240.000.00+0.06
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.03+1.030.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.90+0.900.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.47+0.470.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.47+0.390.000.00+0.08