Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.053 to 11.40.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.40 (+0.053)
- In: 11.35
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 34
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 360
- In: 267
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.70 | 6.74 | +0.039 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.23 | 10.28 | +0.052 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.92 | 6.93 | +0.016 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.81 | 14.93 | +0.120 | 3 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 10.10 | 10.19 | +0.091 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.05 | 15.05 | −0.001 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.35 | 13.41 | +0.066 | 8 → 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.73 | 12.82 | +0.089 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.28 | 12.28 | +0.004 | 8 → 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 411, plus 267 carried in. Maintenance 257. Spent 61 on actions (build 12, buy 24, partner 24). 360 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance12 credits for 0.38 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks12 credits for 1.02 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure12 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.11 | +1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.72 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.53 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.46 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.39 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.31 |