Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.078 to 10.98.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 10.98 (+0.079)
- In: 10.91
- Rank by index
- 35
- In: 35
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 961
- In: 867
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.92 | 8.27 | +0.356 | 6 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 9.58 | 9.57 | −0.007 | 6 |
| National Security | 6.26 | 6.26 | +0.003 | 7 |
| Human Capital | 14.88 | 14.87 | −0.009 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 10.39 | 10.47 | +0.076 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.10 | 14.08 | −0.011 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 11.59 | 11.57 | −0.019 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.83 | 12.00 | +0.176 | 6 → 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.62 | 11.76 | +0.138 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 401, plus 867 carried in. Maintenance 246. Spent 62 on actions (buy 50, partner 12). 961 carried over.
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection12 credits for 1.08 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence12 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies12 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing12 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.25 | +1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +1.19 | +1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.16 | +1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.12 | +1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.04 | +1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.47 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |