Round 1 · simulation 15 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2027

Round 1 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.049 to 11.54.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.

Capability index: 11.54 (+0.049); In: 11.49
Rank by index: 32; In: 33
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 67; In: 0

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	6.00	6.17	+0.171	7
Strategic Infrastructure	10.86	10.86	0.000	5
National Security	7.54	7.54	0.000	6
Human Capital	14.56	14.58	+0.026	3
Information & Influence	10.48	10.69	+0.210	6
Governance & Integrity	15.46	15.46	0.000	3
Financial Strength	13.08	13.11	+0.034	9
Production & Innovation	12.81	12.81	0.000	5
Trade & Investment	12.60	12.60	0.000	6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2027: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 390. Maintenance 265. Spent 58 on actions (build 12, buy 23, partner 23). 67 carried over.

PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance12 credits for 0.41 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_fill
PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 1.00 levelsmcts_fill

The groups that moved most in 2027, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance	+1.26	+1.26
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing	+1.21	+1.21
Space Technologies	+0.50	+0.50
Technical & Vocational Skills	+0.23	+0.23
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance	+0.20	+0.20