Round 8 · simulation 15 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.097 to 11.71.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.71 (+0.097)
In: 11.62
Rank by index
30
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
448
In: 367
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.227.43+0.2116
Strategic Infrastructure10.8110.83+0.0195
National Security7.507.54+0.0346
Human Capital15.0615.15+0.0851
Information & Influence10.8111.02+0.2076
Governance & Integrity15.2515.26+0.0114 → 3
Financial Strength13.0313.05+0.0297 → 6
Production & Innovation12.6912.79+0.1035
Trade & Investment12.1812.35+0.1726

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 418, plus 367 carried in. Maintenance 274. Spent 62 on actions (buy 37, partner 25). 448 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Technologies13 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity13 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance13 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection13 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 1 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation13 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +2.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.38+1.310.00+0.01+0.06
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.16+1.160.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.72+0.720.00+0.01−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.59+0.560.00+0.01+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.54+0.540.00+0.010.00
Space Technologies+0.45+0.440.00+0.010.00