Round 9 · simulation 15 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.091 to 11.80.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.80 (+0.091)
In: 11.71
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
522
In: 426
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.437.77+0.3446
Strategic Infrastructure10.8310.85+0.0195
National Security7.547.57+0.0296
Human Capital15.1515.21+0.0621
Information & Influence11.0211.14+0.1226
Governance & Integrity15.2615.27+0.0103
Financial Strength13.0513.08+0.0286
Production & Innovation12.7912.81+0.0155
Trade & Investment12.3512.54+0.1866

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 437, plus 426 carried in. Maintenance 279. Spent 63 on actions (buy 25, partner 38). 522 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing13 credits for 0.90 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation13 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies13 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication13 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies13 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +0.6 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.26+1.250.00+0.010.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.91+0.900.00+0.010.00
Space Technologies+0.89+0.870.00+0.01+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.68+0.640.000.00+0.03
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.56+0.540.00+0.01+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.54+0.550.00+0.01−0.02