Round 16 · simulation 15 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.091 to 12.43.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.43 (+0.091)
In: 12.34
Rank by index
25
In: 26
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
800
In: 743
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.519.89+0.3765
Strategic Infrastructure11.2511.26+0.0145
National Security7.787.81+0.0386
Human Capital15.4415.45+0.0051
Information & Influence12.2012.31+0.1134
Governance & Integrity15.3015.30+0.0013
Financial Strength13.1713.19+0.0122
Production & Innovation13.1113.27+0.1635 → 4
Trade & Investment13.3013.40+0.1005

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 442, plus 743 carried in. Maintenance 318. Spent 66 on actions (buy 53, partner 13). 800 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Technologies13 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation13 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing13 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion13 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing13 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.25+1.140.000.00+0.11
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.10+1.100.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.06+1.050.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.77+0.770.000.000.00
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.55+0.550.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.53+0.520.000.00+0.01