Round 15 · simulation 15 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.081 to 12.34.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.34 (+0.082)
In: 12.26
Rank by index
26
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
782
In: 720
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.239.51+0.2795
Strategic Infrastructure11.2311.25+0.0195
National Security7.747.78+0.0396
Human Capital15.3615.44+0.0801
Information & Influence12.1012.20+0.1034
Governance & Integrity15.3015.300.0003
Financial Strength13.1513.17+0.0285 → 2
Production & Innovation13.0813.11+0.0235
Trade & Investment13.1313.30+0.1645

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 441, plus 720 carried in. Maintenance 313. Spent 66 on actions (buy 39, partner 26). 782 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Education13 credits for 0.46 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy13 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position13 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies13 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies13 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.12+1.110.000.000.00
Energy Technologies+1.10+1.100.000.000.00
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.55+0.550.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.53+0.530.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.53+0.520.000.00+0.01
Advanced Education+0.46+0.460.000.000.00