Round 18 · simulation 15 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.092 to 12.59.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.59 (+0.092)
In: 12.50
Rank by index
25
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
815
In: 770
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.1310.37+0.2375
Strategic Infrastructure11.2711.29+0.0155
National Security7.867.90+0.0426
Human Capital15.4515.46+0.0061
Information & Influence12.5012.67+0.1774
Governance & Integrity15.3015.31+0.0013
Financial Strength13.1913.19+0.0022
Production & Innovation13.2813.38+0.1044
Trade & Investment13.4913.74+0.2475

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 442, plus 770 carried in. Maintenance 331. Spent 66 on actions (buy 40, partner 27). 815 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies13 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence13 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection13 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity13 credits for 0.66 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access13 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.22+0.970.000.00+0.24
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.05+1.050.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.69+0.660.000.00+0.03
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.58+0.560.000.00+0.02
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.56+0.540.000.00+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.51+0.510.000.000.00