Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.096 to 12.69.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.69 (+0.097)
- In: 12.59
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 818
- In: 775
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.37 | 10.71 | +0.345 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.29 | 11.30 | +0.011 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.90 | 7.93 | +0.036 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.46 | 15.46 | +0.006 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.67 | 12.85 | +0.181 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.31 | 15.31 | +0.001 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.19 | 13.21 | +0.024 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.38 | 13.40 | +0.013 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.74 | 13.99 | +0.253 | 5 → 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 447, plus 775 carried in. Maintenance 337. Spent 66 on actions (buy 53, partner 13). 818 carried over.
- BuyEnergy Technologies13 credits for 1.03 levelsmctsahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies13 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication13 credits for 1.00 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance13 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing13 credits for 1.02 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +1.04 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.04 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Energy Technologies | +1.03 | +1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.02 | +1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.56 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.52 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |