Round 2046
Round 20 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.089 to 12.77.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.77 (+0.088)
- In: 12.69
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 815
- In: 777
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.71 | 10.94 | +0.226 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.30 | 11.31 | +0.011 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.93 | 7.96 | +0.025 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.46 | 15.55 | +0.086 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.85 | 12.87 | +0.019 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.31 | 15.31 | +0.002 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.21 | 13.40 | +0.183 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.40 | 13.55 | +0.155 | 4 → 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.99 | 14.08 | +0.089 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 450, plus 777 carried in. Maintenance 345. Spent 67 on actions (buy 67). 815 carried over.
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation13 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation13 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems13 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power13 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion13 credits for 0.99 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.09 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.06 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power | +1.06 | +1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.01 | +0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.74 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.51 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |