Round 16 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.057 to 12.18.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.18 (−0.056)
In: 12.24
Rank by index
27
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
717
In: 704
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.379.44+0.0705
Strategic Infrastructure11.1511.13−0.0225
National Security7.897.91+0.0196
Human Capital15.3915.31−0.0801
Information & Influence12.2912.12−0.1704
Governance & Integrity15.2315.13−0.0984 → 5
Financial Strength12.8012.64−0.1637
Production & Innovation12.9912.97−0.0205
Trade & Investment13.0412.99−0.0476 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 385, plus 704 carried in. Maintenance 313. Spent 58 on actions (buy 35, partner 23). 717 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 0.66 levelsmcts
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access12 credits for 1.00 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies12 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.67 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion12 credits for 0.93 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −8.7 points this round.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+0.81+0.970.00−0.170.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.80+0.930.00−0.140.00
Space Technologies+0.56+0.720.00−0.160.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.44+0.660.00−0.220.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.36+0.500.00−0.17+0.03
Artificial Intelligence−0.350.000.00−0.32−0.03