Round 2041
Round 15 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.050 to 12.24.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.24 (−0.051)
- In: 12.29
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 741
- In: 737
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.29 | 9.37 | +0.081 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.17 | 11.15 | −0.020 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.86 | 7.89 | +0.023 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.47 | 15.39 | −0.079 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.29 | 12.29 | −0.004 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.33 | 15.23 | −0.097 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 12.98 | 12.80 | −0.178 | 5 → 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.05 | 12.99 | −0.061 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.15 | 13.04 | −0.116 | 5 → 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 385, plus 737 carried in. Maintenance 315. Spent 66 on actions (buy 40, partner 27). 741 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing13 credits for 0.79 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation13 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies13 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication13 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity13 credits for 0.67 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −8.7 points this round.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 7; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.06 | +1.16 | 0.00 | −0.14 | +0.04 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.57 | +0.79 | 0.00 | −0.22 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.52 | +0.67 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.40 | +0.55 | 0.00 | −0.15 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.35 | +0.52 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.33 | +0.01 |