Round 7 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-gbr-greedy

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.036 to 17.02.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.02 (−0.036)
In: 17.06
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
1,113
In: 1,004
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1716.27+0.1093 → 2
Strategic Infrastructure16.1016.01−0.0912
National Security16.2916.22−0.0702
Human Capital18.5718.62+0.0501
Information & Influence17.1717.04−0.1372
Governance & Integrity16.5116.51+0.0011
Financial Strength17.5517.41−0.1431
Production & Innovation16.6716.68+0.0071
Trade & Investment18.5018.45−0.0501

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,157, plus 1,004 carried in. Maintenance 878. Spent 170 on actions (build 136, buy 34). 1,113 carried over.

  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration34 credits for 1.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Early Childhood Development by 2 per cent
  • BuildEarly Childhood Development34 credits for 1.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 2 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies34 credits for 1.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Population Health by 2 per cent
  • BuildPopulation Health34 credits for 1.46 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 0 per cent
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption34 credits for 1.34 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Political Institutions & Civic Participation by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −9.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.76+1.830.00−0.070.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.69+0.800.00−0.13+0.01
Early Childhood Development+0.61+0.790.00−0.180.00
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.52+0.640.00−0.13+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.46+0.790.00−0.330.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.30+0.430.00−0.140.00