Round 9 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-gbr-greedy

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture and Cryptographic trust break, and the index −0.291 to 16.81.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.81 (−0.291)
In: 17.10
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 5
Credits carried
1,186
In: 1,104
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2815.82−0.4522 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure16.0315.77−0.2632
National Security16.2215.61−0.6152 → 3
Human Capital18.7918.91+0.1241
Information & Influence17.3017.01−0.2962
Governance & Integrity16.6616.50−0.1611
Financial Strength17.4316.82−0.6131 → 2
Production & Innovation16.7516.75+0.0021
Trade & Investment18.4718.13−0.3421

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,169, plus 1,104 carried in. Maintenance 913. Spent 174 on actions (build 174). 1,186 carried over.

  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base35 credits for 1.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Labour & Employment by 0 per cent
  • BuildLabour & Employment35 credits for 1.74 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Structural Transformation & Complexity by 1 per cent
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity35 credits for 1.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Justice System & Fundamental Rights by 0 per cent
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights35 credits for 1.32 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diaspora & Global Communities by 0 per cent
  • BuildDiaspora & Global Communities35 credits for 1.74 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Political Institutions & Civic Participation by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −9.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Cryptographic trust break S09. −19.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; National Security Tier 2 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.020.000.00−1.020.00
Intelligence & Assessment−0.850.000.00−0.850.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.850.000.00−0.86+0.01
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.840.000.00−0.840.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies−0.770.000.00−0.770.00
Early Childhood Development+0.73+0.790.00−0.050.00