Round 5 · simulation 5 · mcts-m2b.m2b-gbr-greedy

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.222 to 16.97.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.97 (+0.222)
In: 16.75
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 3
Credits carried
1,040
In: 831
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0916.10+0.0063
Strategic Infrastructure16.0316.13+0.0982
National Security16.3816.46+0.0842
Human Capital18.1418.41+0.2681
Information & Influence17.1717.28+0.1092
Governance & Integrity16.5916.70+0.1091
Financial Strength17.2917.43+0.1352
Production & Innovation16.2216.42+0.1991
Trade & Investment16.8117.80+0.9902 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,135, plus 831 carried in. Maintenance 758. Spent 168 on actions (build 34, partner 134). 1,040 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity34 credits for 1.44 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 9 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence34 credits for 2.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection34 credits for 1.65 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication34 credits for 1.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 2 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics34 credits for 1.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +4.6 points this round.

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Export Capability & Sophistication+1.93+1.890.00+0.040.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.10+1.030.00+0.04+0.03
Economic Output & Productivity+1.08+0.960.00+0.04+0.08
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.05+1.010.00+0.040.00
Foundational Education+1.03+0.990.00+0.040.00
Global Value Chain Position+1.03+0.960.00+0.04+0.02