Round 3 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2b.m2b-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 3 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 0 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.127 to 16.39.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.39 (−0.127)
In: 16.51
Rank by index
3
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 3
Credits carried
966
In: 577
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2616.07−0.1813
Strategic Infrastructure16.0315.95−0.0812
National Security16.2816.280.0002
Human Capital16.6016.66+0.0651
Information & Influence17.1516.95−0.2012
Governance & Integrity16.4816.36−0.1181
Financial Strength17.3617.16−0.1992
Production & Innovation15.9215.72−0.1951 → 2
Trade & Investment16.5416.31−0.2303

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,094, plus 577 carried in. Maintenance 706. Nothing spent on actions. 966 carried over.

  • Shock: AI labour shock S08. −31.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.45+0.560.00−0.110.00
Digital & Services Trade−0.400.000.00−0.400.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.35+0.570.00−0.220.00
Labour & Employment−0.340.000.00−0.340.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.340.000.00−0.340.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.340.000.00−0.340.00