Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 3 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.098 to 16.29.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.29 (−0.099)
- In: 16.39
- Rank by index
- 4
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 1,024
- In: 917
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.07 | 15.89 | −0.180 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.95 | 15.87 | −0.081 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.28 | 16.28 | 0.000 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 16.66 | 17.01 | +0.343 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.95 | 16.74 | −0.205 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.36 | 16.24 | −0.120 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.16 | 16.95 | −0.211 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.72 | 15.52 | −0.198 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.31 | 16.07 | −0.235 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 953, plus 917 carried in. Maintenance 683. Spent 164 on actions (build 131, buy 33). 1,024 carried over.
- BuyTechnical & Vocational Skills33 credits for 1.10 levelsmctsahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling33 credits for 2.51 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education33 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education33 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence33 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −10.3 points this round.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.55 | +1.66 | 0.00 | −0.11 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.85 | +1.07 | 0.00 | −0.22 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +0.54 | +0.65 | 0.00 | −0.11 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.52 | +0.73 | 0.00 | −0.22 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.40 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.34 | −0.02 |