Round 7 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2b.m2b-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 3 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.206 to 16.59.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.59 (+0.206)
In: 16.39
Rank by index
3
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 2
Credits carried
1,514
In: 1,245
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.7415.77+0.0333
Strategic Infrastructure15.8715.96+0.0892
National Security16.2816.27−0.0082
Human Capital17.6517.98+0.3341
Information & Influence16.5716.61+0.0392
Governance & Integrity16.2216.33+0.1041
Financial Strength16.9217.17+0.2492 → 1
Production & Innovation15.7515.97+0.2202
Trade & Investment16.4817.27+0.7912 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,119, plus 1,245 carried in. Maintenance 690. Spent 160 on actions (build 32, partner 128). 1,514 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity32 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence32 credits for 2.03 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication32 credits for 1.88 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection32 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 2 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance32 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Global Value Chain Position by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +5.3 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Export Capability & Sophistication+1.89+1.830.00+0.09−0.03
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+1.20+1.110.00+0.04+0.05
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.13+1.020.00+0.09+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.05+0.870.00+0.17+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+1.01+0.890.00+0.09+0.03
Global Value Chain Position+0.98+0.870.00+0.09+0.02