Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 3 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.157 to 16.39.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.39 (+0.156)
- In: 16.23
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 5
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 1,311
- In: 1,050
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.71 | 15.74 | +0.035 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.78 | 15.87 | +0.092 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.28 | 16.28 | −0.006 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 17.30 | 17.65 | +0.350 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.53 | 16.57 | +0.033 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.12 | 16.22 | +0.105 | 4 → 1 |
| Financial Strength | 16.78 | 16.92 | +0.146 | 3 → 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.61 | 15.75 | +0.139 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.97 | 16.48 | +0.514 | 3 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,065, plus 1,050 carried in. Maintenance 663. Spent 142 on actions (build 28, partner 113). 1,311 carried over.
- PartnerAdvanced Education28 credits for 0.82 levelsmctsahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity28 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication28 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance28 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position28 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Market access opening S12. +15.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 3 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.14 | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.17 | −0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.95 | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.09 | −0.01 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.95 | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.95 | +0.89 | 0.00 | +0.09 | −0.03 |
| Advanced Education | +0.92 | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.72 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.03 |