Round 13 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2b.m2b-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 3 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.127 to 17.39.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.39 (+0.127)
In: 17.26
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
1,719
In: 1,696
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2316.24+0.0092
Strategic Infrastructure16.3516.44+0.0872
National Security16.3016.32+0.0152
Human Capital18.6818.91+0.2341
Information & Influence17.8117.94+0.1301
Governance & Integrity16.7016.90+0.1981
Financial Strength17.5317.53+0.0021
Production & Innovation16.9617.31+0.3501
Trade & Investment18.7918.91+0.1161

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,194, plus 1,696 carried in. Maintenance 992. Spent 179 on actions (build 143, buy 36). 1,719 carried over.

  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure36 credits for 1.19 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption36 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity36 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildHealth System Capability36 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation36 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Structural Transformation & Complexity+1.18+1.150.000.00+0.03
Early Childhood Development+0.96+0.950.000.00+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.68+0.680.000.000.00
Population Health+0.63+0.610.000.00+0.01
Labour & Employment+0.62+0.600.000.00+0.02
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.62+0.590.000.00+0.02