Round 14 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2b.m2b-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 3 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.098 to 17.49.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.49 (+0.098)
In: 17.39
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
1,626
In: 1,633
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2416.32+0.0792
Strategic Infrastructure16.4416.52+0.0752
National Security16.3216.33+0.0132
Human Capital18.9119.11+0.1971
Information & Influence17.9417.97+0.0261
Governance & Integrity16.9017.18+0.2751
Financial Strength17.5317.54+0.0031
Production & Innovation17.3117.50+0.1891
Trade & Investment18.9118.94+0.0271

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,195, plus 1,633 carried in. Maintenance 1,023. Spent 179 on actions (build 143, partner 36). 1,626 carried over.

  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability36 credits for 1.36 levelsmctsahead of Justice System & Fundamental Rights by 0 per cent
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights36 credits for 1.37 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies36 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildHealth System Capability36 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption36 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Structural Transformation & Complexity+1.19+1.150.000.00+0.04
Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption+0.84+0.830.000.00+0.01
Space Technologies+0.72+0.710.000.000.00
Population Health+0.63+0.610.000.00+0.02
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.61+0.590.000.00+0.01
Health System Capability+0.60+0.550.000.00+0.05