Round 11 · simulation 1 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 1 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.048 to 7.63.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.63 (+0.048)
In: 7.58
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
82
In: 75
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.673.86+0.1919
Strategic Infrastructure7.897.89+0.0057
National Security4.634.64+0.0069
Human Capital8.788.81+0.0239 → 8
Information & Influence8.969.03+0.0617
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.598.60+0.00417
Production & Innovation8.008.01+0.01214
Trade & Investment8.828.95+0.13311

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 164, plus 75 carried in. Maintenance 133. Spent 25 on actions (buy 15, partner 10). 82 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 3 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.60 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 1 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing5 credits for 0.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.60+0.600.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.58+0.580.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.31+0.310.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.30+0.300.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.27+0.270.000.000.00