Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 1 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.367 to 7.26.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.26 (−0.366)
- In: 7.63
- Rank by index
- 77
- In: 72
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 82
- In: 78
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.86 | 3.85 | −0.019 | 9 → 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.89 | 7.34 | −0.554 | 7 → 8 |
| National Security | 4.64 | 4.25 | −0.382 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.81 | 8.65 | −0.154 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 9.03 | 8.96 | −0.070 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.54 | −0.351 | 14 → 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.60 | 7.98 | −0.619 | 17 → 18 |
| Production & Innovation | 8.01 | 7.59 | −0.418 | 14 → 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.95 | 8.22 | −0.731 | 11 → 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 165, plus 78 carried in. Maintenance 135. Spent 25 on actions (buy 20, partner 5). 82 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.49 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 4 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.37 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.61 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −29.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 8; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 18; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 15; Trade & Investment Tier 11 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.32 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.09 | 0.00 |
| Transport Infrastructure | −1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.02 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.98 | +0.07 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.83 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.82 | 0.00 |