Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 1 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.550 to 6.71.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.71 (−0.551)
- In: 7.26
- Rank by index
- 87
- In: 77
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 84
- In: 78
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.85 | 3.75 | −0.093 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.34 | 6.57 | −0.767 | 8 → 9 |
| National Security | 4.25 | 3.73 | −0.520 | 9 → 10 |
| Human Capital | 8.65 | 8.41 | −0.242 | 8 → 10 |
| Information & Influence | 8.96 | 8.61 | −0.351 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.54 | 8.04 | −0.503 | 15 → 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.98 | 7.13 | −0.846 | 18 → 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.59 | 7.00 | −0.598 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.22 | 7.19 | −1.033 | 12 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 156, plus 78 carried in. Maintenance 125. Spent 25 on actions (buy 15, partner 10). 84 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.30 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 2 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.49 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 1 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence5 credits for 0.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −41.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 8 to 9; National Security Tier 9 to 10; Human Capital Tier 8 to 10; Governance & Integrity Tier 15 to 16; Financial Strength Tier 18 to 21; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.70 | 0.00 |
| Transport Infrastructure | −1.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.36 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.29 | +0.15 | 0.00 | −1.43 | −0.01 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.09 | 0.00 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.07 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | −1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.06 | −0.01 |