Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 1 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.015 to 6.73.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.73 (+0.015)
- In: 6.71
- Rank by index
- 86
- In: 87
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 87
- In: 80
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.75 | 3.77 | +0.016 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.57 | 6.57 | −0.008 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.73 | 3.73 | −0.003 | 10 → 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.41 | 8.41 | −0.002 | 10 |
| Information & Influence | 8.61 | 8.60 | −0.007 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.04 | 8.03 | −0.005 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.13 | 7.13 | −0.001 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.00 | 6.97 | −0.023 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.19 | 7.36 | +0.168 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 142, plus 80 carried in. Maintenance 112. Spent 23 on actions (partner 23). 87 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 4 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 3 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence5 credits for 0.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection5 credits for 0.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
Tiers. National Security Tier 10 to 9.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.57 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.28 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.23 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.20 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.07 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.18 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.12 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 |