Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.355 to 6.50.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.50 (−0.355)
- In: 6.86
- Rank by index
- 90
- In: 83
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 65
- In: 53
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.20 | 3.18 | −0.018 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.06 | 6.54 | −0.521 | 8 → 9 |
| National Security | 4.38 | 4.00 | −0.375 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.02 | 7.89 | −0.131 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.32 | 8.06 | −0.261 | 8 → 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.40 | 8.05 | −0.346 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.66 | 7.09 | −0.574 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.12 | 6.73 | −0.390 | 15 → 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.57 | 6.99 | −0.579 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 149, plus 53 carried in. Maintenance 115. Spent 22 on actions (buy 13, partner 9). 65 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.49 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.36 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −27.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 8 to 9; Information & Influence Tier 8 to 9; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.10 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.01 | −0.01 |
| Transport Infrastructure | −0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.91 | +0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.86 | 0.00 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.80 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.73 | 0.00 |